The GOP dies when 140,000 Republicans flee the occasion in January
Hundreds of thousands of voters fled the Republican Party in January 2020 at a time when the elections are very near.
The New York Times analyzed the data and found:
An analysis of the January New York Times ballot papers found that nearly 140,000 Republicans had left the party in 25 states where data was available (19 states have no registration by party). Voting experts said the data indicated a greater than usual escape from a political party following a presidential election, as well as the possible start of a detrimental period for GOP registrations as voters withdraw from the violence in the Capitol and its aftermath.
The largest spikes in Republicans leaving the party were in the days after January 6, particularly in California, where there were 1,020 Republican changes on January 5 – and 3,243 on January 7. In Arizona, there were 233 Republican changes in the first five days of January and 3,317 the next week. Most of the Republicans in these and other states moved to unaffiliated status.
The Republican brand is currently associated with Trumpism and violence, and that is pushing a lot of fiscal Republicans out. The big picture is that the GOP is in the middle of a civil war between Trump and fiscal conservatives who disagree with the radicalized far-right ideology that spawned and fueled domestic terrorism.
The Republican Party looks like a party that is on a cycle of death. Members of Congress care for the edge and alienate the people they need to expand their bases and win elections. That dynamic is evident during Trump’s second impeachment trial, when 44 out of 50 Senate Republicans argue over a small and lost coalition that was shown in 2020 not big enough to bring them back to power.
Republican voters are fleeing, and as long as the party continues to be led by Trump, it will only slide deeper into failure and irrelevance.
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Mr. Easley is the Founder / Executive Editor, White House Press Pool, and a Congressional Correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a bachelor’s degree in political science. His thesis focused on public order with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and professional memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association